Forecast For Fun

How much Will the Federal Workforce Shrink Under Elon and DOGE by July 4, 2026?
24h Vol: 489 🪙

This event looks at how much the U.S. federal workforce will change by July 4, 2026. With talks about Elon Musk possibly helping to make the government more efficient through the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE), we’re predicting whether the workforce will shrink and by how much.

Rules

  • Results will be determined based on reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Office of Personnel Management, or other trusted sources.
  • Workforce changes include layoffs, hiring freezes, and attrition but exclude temporary fluctuations due to shutdowns or emergencies.
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