This prediction market aims to forecast the lowest value the S&P 500 Index will reach during the current market downturn (defined as beginning in March 2025). The market will resolve based on the lowest value the S&P 500 Index reaches at any point between March 10, 2025, and December 31, 2025.
Participants buy and sell shares representing different outcome options.
The price of each share reflects the market's aggregated belief in the probability of that outcome occurring.
The market will be open until December 31, 2025.